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M.Samus about the threat of Russia's large-scale offensive on Radio Liberty

Guests of the program "Your Freedom": Mikhail Samus, Center for Army, Conversion and Disarmament Studies Expert; Andriy Teteruk, People's Deputy of Ukraine, Member of the Verkhovna Rada Committee on National Security and Defense; Leonid Radzihovsky, Russian journalist.

The statements of the President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko and the Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are confirmed Viktor Muzhenka about the build-up of Russian troops near the border of Ukraine. As evidenced photos from Google space service, hundreds of Russian tanks have been spotted in the Rostov region. Earlier, Poroshenko and Muzenko said that the presence of Russian troops, in particular 900 tanks, was observed near the border with Ukraine, in ORDLO and in the annexed Crimea, more than fifty planes were observed. Meanwhile, Moscow accuses Ukraine of aggressive intentions regarding Donbass.

Alexander Lashchenko: Mr. Samus, is there really a threat of Russia's massive invasion of Ukraine from one direction or another, not necessarily on the Donbass?

Mikhail Samus: We state the increase and development of military infrastructure around the Russian Federation, starting from 2015 year. When Russia realized that it would not be possible to take Ukraine safely, it began to create virtually new three armies around Ukraine: the 1 tank army near Moscow, the 20 army with the headquarters in Voronezh, in fact, the divisions and brigades are located at 10-15 kilometers from Ukraine , and 8-an army that manages the occupation contingent of Russian troops in the Donbass. In the area of ​​2017 this infrastructure was built. And now it continues to improve and build up.

Russia is ready for a large-scale offensive against Ukraine in all directions at this time. Probability is now more than 50%. The aggression of Russia near the Kerch Strait shows that Russia has already crossed the border when it is ready to openly open on its own flag without hiding behind the "green men" or "the insurgent people of the Donbas".

The election factor (in Ukraine, ed.) Has played a very significant role. Russia began to disperse in the informal space of the message that all this (the introduction of martial law - ed.) Was invented by the current government, the president, to ruin the election. If we had carried out these elections during the elections, then this would be a great threat to domestic political destabilization. Russia would have played an absolutely wonderful game - during these 60 days the defense of Ukraine would not be strengthened, but weakened.

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